via: http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDD65011.shtml
| Community Threat | Past Cyclone Details | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Current Cyclone Details | Forecast Cyclone Details (at 24 and 48 hours from issue) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The forecast path shown above is the Bureau's best estimate of the cyclone's future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre.
Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning and watch zones reflects this.
This product is designed for land-based communities; mariners should read the coastal waters and high seas warnings.
Remarks:
LOCALLY DAMAGING wind gusts up to 100 kilometres per hour are being experienced with squally showers and storms in the northwest Darwin-Daly District and the Tiwi Islands.
GALES with gusts to 110 kilometres per hour are expected to develop between Daly River Mouth and Point Stuart, including Darwin and the Tiwi Islands, during Wednesday.
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 130 kilometres per hour may develop over the Tiwi Islands late Thursday if the cyclone continues to intensify.
HEAVY RAIN may cause widespread flooding in the northern Darwin-Daly District.
The Territory Controller advises residents from Daly River Mouth to Point Stuart including the Tiwi Islands that now is the time to make final preparations to your home shelter or identify which public emergency shelter to use.
Residents of Darwin and the Rural Area are advised that if you DO NOT have accommodation constructed to the Building Code or are unsure of your present accommodation you should decide which public emergency shelter to use. You should now have your emergency kit complete and ready. DO NOT PROCEED TO PUBLIC EMERGENCY SHELTERS UNTIL ADVISED TO DO SO.
The Territory Controller advises communities under Cyclone Watch that now is the time to put together your emergency kit, clear your yards and balconies, and commence home shelter preparations.
Name: Tropical Low
Details: Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning and watch zones reflects this.
This product is designed for land-based communities; mariners should read the coastal waters and high seas warnings.
Remarks:
LOCALLY DAMAGING wind gusts up to 100 kilometres per hour are being experienced with squally showers and storms in the northwest Darwin-Daly District and the Tiwi Islands.
GALES with gusts to 110 kilometres per hour are expected to develop between Daly River Mouth and Point Stuart, including Darwin and the Tiwi Islands, during Wednesday.
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 130 kilometres per hour may develop over the Tiwi Islands late Thursday if the cyclone continues to intensify.
HEAVY RAIN may cause widespread flooding in the northern Darwin-Daly District.
The Territory Controller advises residents from Daly River Mouth to Point Stuart including the Tiwi Islands that now is the time to make final preparations to your home shelter or identify which public emergency shelter to use.
Residents of Darwin and the Rural Area are advised that if you DO NOT have accommodation constructed to the Building Code or are unsure of your present accommodation you should decide which public emergency shelter to use. You should now have your emergency kit complete and ready. DO NOT PROCEED TO PUBLIC EMERGENCY SHELTERS UNTIL ADVISED TO DO SO.
The Territory Controller advises communities under Cyclone Watch that now is the time to put together your emergency kit, clear your yards and balconies, and commence home shelter preparations.
Name: Tropical Low
| Time (CST) | Intensity Category | Latitude (decimal deg.) | Longitude (decimal deg.) | Estimated Position Accuracy (km) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0hr | 10 pm February 15 | tropical low | 12.8S | 130.6E | 55 |
| +6hr | 4 am February 16 | tropical low | 12.5S | 130.7E | 85 |
| +12hr | 10 am February 16 | tropical low | 12.2S | 130.7E | 110 |
| +18hr | 4 pm February 16 | 1 | 12.0S | 130.6E | 140 |
| +24hr | 10 pm February 16 | 1 | 11.9S | 130.5E | 165 |
| +36hr | 10 am February 17 | 1 | 11.8S | 130.2E | 230 |
| +48hr | 10 pm February 17 | 1 | 11.8S | 130.0E | 285 |
The next Forecast Track Map will be issued by 2:00 am CST Wednesday